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Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Prediction Intelligence
Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Live data for professional portfolio management, trading and predictions.

Position
5.
Points
52
Goal diff
+20
Next match
Leverkusen vs Augsburg
Akte Bayer — Club-Dossier Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Intelligence
At a glance

Leverkusen sit 5th after matchday 30 with 52 points (15W 7D 7L, goal diff +20). Last 5 form: DDDWW (9/15 pts). Next opponent: Augsburg (10th).

Bundesliga Table

Bundesliga table matchday 30
# Club P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern 29 24 4 1 105 27 +78 76
2 BVB 29 19 7 3 60 29 +31 64
3 Stuttgart 29 17 5 7 60 38 +22 56
4 Leipzig 29 17 5 7 56 36 +20 56
5 Leverkusen 29 15 7 7 59 39 +20 52
6 Hoffenheim 29 15 6 8 57 43 +14 51
7 Eintracht 29 11 9 9 54 54 0 42
8 Freiburg 29 11 7 11 42 47 -5 40
9 Mainz 29 8 9 12 35 44 -9 33
10 Augsburg 29 9 6 14 36 53 -17 33
11 Union 29 8 8 13 33 50 -17 32
12 Koeln 30 7 10 13 44 51 -7 31
13 HSV 29 7 10 12 32 45 -13 31
14 Gladbach 29 7 9 13 35 49 -14 30
15 Werder 29 7 7 15 32 52 -20 28
16 St. Pauli 30 6 8 16 26 51 -25 26
17 Wolfsburg 29 5 6 18 39 65 -26 21
18 Heidenheim 29 4 7 18 32 64 -32 19

Top Scorers

Bundesliga Top Scorers Season 25646

  1. 1
    Harry Kane
    Harry Kane
    Bayern · 32
    31 Goals
  2. 2
    Deniz Undav
    Deniz Undav
    Stuttgart · 29
    18 Goals
  3. 3
    Luis Díaz
    Luis Díaz
    Bayern · 29
    15 Goals
  4. 4
    Serhou Guirassy
    Serhou Guirassy
    BVB · 30
    13 Goals
  5. 5
    Michael Olise
    Michael Olise
    Bayern · 24
    12 Goals
# Player Club Goals
6 Christoph Baumgartner Leipzig 12
7 Yan Diomande Leipzig 11
8 Said El Mala Koeln 11
9 Haris Tabakovic Gladbach 11
10 Andrej Kramaric Hoffenheim 10

Pinnacle Oracle

Leverkusen Augsburg
Home 1.41
Draw 5.51
Away 6.96
Source: Pinnacle Updated:
Leverkusen Augsburg
-- Days
-- Hrs
-- Min
Kickoff
Venue
BayArena
Competition
Bundesliga

Form & Momentum

Leverkusen — Form & Home/Away

Last 5
DDDWW
Home
27 Pts
Record: 8-3-3 Goals: 32:15
Away
25 Pts
Record: 7-4-4 Goals: 27:24

Last result: Win. Last 5 form: D-D-D-W-W.

The form of the last five matches is the most important leading indicator for short-term bets. A team on a three-match win streak is significantly underpriced when the odds movement hasn't yet caught up with the momentum. The Pinnacle Oracle weights this form at roughly 30 percent against table position (40 percent), home/away splits (20 percent) and opponent strength (10 percent).

Assists & Card Ranking

Bundesliga Top Assists

  1. 1
    Michael Olise
    Michael Olise
    Bayern · 24
    18 Assists
  2. 2
    Julian Ryerson
    Julian Ryerson
    BVB · 28
    13 Assists
  3. 3
    Luis Díaz
    Luis Díaz
    Bayern · 29
    11 Assists
  4. 4
    Farès Chaïbi
    Farès Chaïbi
    Eintracht · 23
    9 Assists
  5. 5
    Christoph Baumgartner
    Christoph Baumgartner
    Leipzig · 26
    8 Assists
# Player Club Assists
6 Andrej Ilic Union 8
7 Bazoumana Touré Hoffenheim 8
8 Jamie Leweling Stuttgart 8
9 Alejandro Grimaldo Leverkusen 7
10 Fisnik Asllani Hoffenheim 7

Bundesliga Card Ranking (Yellow + Red×3)

  1. 1
    Dominik Kohr
    Dominik Kohr
    Mainz · 32
    8 2
  2. 2
    Eric Martel
    Eric Martel
    Koeln · 23
    10 1
  3. 3
    Niklas Stark
    Niklas Stark
    Werder · 31
    6 2
  4. 4
    Marco Friedl
    Marco Friedl
    Werder · 28
    8 1
  5. 5
    Johan Manzambi
    Johan Manzambi
    Freiburg · 20
    4 2
# Player Club Y R Total
6 Moritz Jenz Wolfsburg 7 1 8
7 Rocco Reitz Gladbach 7 1 8
8 Nicolai Remberg HSV 10 0 10
9 Fábio Vieira HSV 3 2 5
10 Miro Muheim HSV 6 1 7

Statistical Splits BETA

What actually moves Bayern's result — and what's myth. Bootstrap confidence intervals from 63 matches of the Kompany-Ära.

Split Group A Group B Δ ppg 95% CI p-value Significance
Home games vs. away games Home 1.97 ppg · n=31 Away 1.88 ppg · n=32 +0.09 [-0.51, 0.69] 0.76
Versus top-6 opponents vs. rest of the league Vs top 6 1.28 ppg · n=18 Vs rest 2.18 ppg · n=45 -0.90 [-1.56, -0.23] 0.01 🟡
With vs. without Alejandro Grimaldo in the starting XI With Alejandro Grimaldo 2.04 ppg · n=55 Without Alejandro Grimaldo 1.13 ppg · n=8 +0.91 [0.02, 1.73] 0.05 🟡
With vs. without Edmond Tapsoba in the starting XI With Edmond Tapsoba 1.91 ppg · n=53 Without Edmond Tapsoba 2.00 ppg · n=10 -0.09 [-0.92, 0.79] 0.82 🟡
With vs. without Robert Andrich in the starting XI With Robert Andrich 1.91 ppg · n=44 Without Robert Andrich 1.95 ppg · n=19 -0.04 [-0.66, 0.59] 0.90
With vs. without Aleix García in the starting XI With Aleix García 1.86 ppg · n=43 Without Aleix García 2.05 ppg · n=20 -0.19 [-0.79, 0.42] 0.54
With vs. without Patrik Schick in the starting XI With Patrik Schick 1.86 ppg · n=37 Without Patrik Schick 2.00 ppg · n=26 -0.14 [-0.74, 0.48] 0.65
Heavy week (after UCL/intl. break) vs. normal week Heavy week 0.00 ppg · n=0 Normal week 1.92 ppg · n=63 -1.92
After UCL midweek vs. without UCL before After UCL 0.00 ppg · n=0 No UCL 1.92 ppg · n=63 -1.92
Full strength (0 absences) vs. 2+ key-player absences 0 absences 2.00 ppg · n=8 2+ absences 2.00 ppg · n=26 0.00 [-1.05, 0.97] 0.99 🟡

Reading: 🟢 statistically significant · 🟡 indicative (sample or effect too small) · ⚪ no effect detectable · ⬜ untested

ppg = points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss). Δ ppg = difference in ppg between the two groups. 95% CI = bootstrap confidence interval (10,000 resamples). p-value < 0.05 = statistically significant at n ≥ 20.

Methodology: Single-Regime-Analyse (nur Kompany-Ära). xG fehlt im Plan und ist nicht enthalten. Bootstrap-CIs statt parametrischer Tests.
Not in dataset: xG, PPDA, Distance Covered

Myth Check BETA

What fans believe — and what the data says. Every myth is tested against real match data.

Indicative

"Bayern struggles against top-6 opponents"

Gegen Top 6: 1.278 ppg · gegen Rest: 2.178 ppg (Δ -0.9).

Prediction relevance: Top-6-Gegner haben keinen messbaren Sondereffekt.

Untested

"Midweek UCL games cost points"

Indikativ: Nach CL 0 ppg, ohne CL 1.921 ppg.

Prediction relevance: Kein klares Adjustment.

Refuted

"Home games are different"

Heim: 1.968 ppg · Auswärts: 1.875 ppg (Δ 0.093).

Prediction relevance: Heimvorteil ist nicht überdurchschnittlich.

Data Analysis

Auto-Generated Variante G · Spieltag 30

Attack ranking: Leverkusen have 59 goals in 29 games (2.03 per game). Best attack in league: Bayern (105). Defence: Leverkusen with 39 goals against (1.34 per game). Best defence: Bayern (27).

This analysis rotates with every matchday through eight data-driven templates: league leadership, relegation battle, Champions League race, home/away splits, form trends, attack/defence, factual summary and overall view. Every statement is grounded in SportsMonks and Pinnacle data — no speculation, no hallucination.

What the data doesn't say

Table, form and odds show the status quo. They say nothing about whether a coach is on the verge of being sacked, a key player is injured, or the board is internally under pressure. This is exactly where the Predictions page comes in: there season markets (Polymarket), transfer rumours and schedule strength feed into the assessment — factors that don't show up in any standard statistic.

The Bayer 04 Leverkusen File in turn provides the historical context: which crises has the club survived, which not. Anyone moving money on Bundesliga markets needs all three layers — hard stats, forward markets and institutional memory.

Frequently Asked

Where do Leverkusen currently stand?
5th with 52 points after matchday 30 (15W 7D 7L, goal diff +20).
Who is Leverkusen's next opponent?
Augsburg, kickoff on 2026-04-18.
Who is the Bundesliga top scorer?
Harry Kane (Bayern) with 31 goals in the 25646 season.
Will Leverkusen be relegated?
Leverkusen are currently 26 points clear of the relegation places.